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Catch Probability Calculator

Calculate your chances and estimated time to catch rare fish based on your luck stats

Calculator Inputs

Enter your total luck percentage (e.g., 1000 for 1000% luck)

Average number of casts you can make per hour

All Rare Fish

Fisherman Island

Ocean

Kohana

Coral Reefs

Esoteric Depths

Tropical Grove

Crater Island

Treasure Room - Lost Isle

Sisyphus Statue - Lost Isle

Admin Event Ocean

Ancient Jungle

Ancient Jungle - Sacred Temple

Ancient Jungle - Underground Cellar

Looking for freebies? Check the latest Fish It codes for boosts and crystals.

How The Calculator Works

Probability Models

Since the exact RNG formula is unknown, we provide three models based on community research:

  • Linear (Optimistic): Luck directly multiplies your chances. 1000% luck = 11x better odds.
  • Realistic: Luck is about 76% as effective as the linear model.
  • Conservative: Luck is about 35% as effective as the linear model.

Time Estimates

Time estimates are calculated using geometric probability distribution:

  • 50% Chance: Number of casts where you have a 50% chance of catching the fish at least once.
  • 90% Chance: Number of casts where you have a 90% chance.
  • 99% Chance: Number of casts where you have a 99% chance.

Formula

The number of casts needed is calculated as: N = log(1 - target%) / log(1 - probability)

Tips

  • Higher luck significantly reduces catch time for rare fish.
  • Casts per hour varies based on rod type and fishing spot.
  • Use the Realistic model for a balanced estimate.
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